How Motivated Reasoning Makes People Religious
By Dr. Thomas Swan
By Dr. Thomas Swan
Motivated reasoning is the tendency to reach desirable, biased conclusions without being aware that you are doing so. For example, the promise of a loving god, a meaningful existence, and eternal life in paradise with departed family members may be so desirable that you ignore the lack of evidence and bias your reasoning in such a way that you're convinced it's true.
Some psychologists think that the desire for religion to be true is the most common path to piety. It has been called the motivational explanation for religion, the comfort theory of religion, and an example of wishful thinking, and it has been favoured by famous scholars for centuries. For example, Sigmund Freud said that religion “derives its strength from its readiness to fit in with our instinctual wishful impulses.”
In this context, motivated reasoning requires that something "motivate" people to believe in religious ideas. The comfort that these ideas offer may be one motivation. However, seeking comfort is often a coping mechanism triggered by negative emotions and moods, such as anxiety, grief, guilt, and depression.
Indeed, David Hume noted that: “Agitated by hopes and fears […], men scrutinise, with a trembling curiosity, the course of future causes, and examine the various and contrary events of human life. And in this disordered scene, with eyes still more disordered and astonished, they see the first obscure traces of divinity.”
A common retort is that "people don’t just believe what they want to believe," and, while most reasoning does include accuracy as a specific goal, motivational goals are usually in competition. These include the well-documented motivations to reinforce positive emotions and prior beliefs (confirmation bias) and avoid negative emotions and contradictory beliefs (cognitive dissonance).
Given that most information, memories, and beliefs have the capacity to evoke emotion (they are “affect laden”), these motivational goals usually influence our conclusions. For example, nicotine addiction may cause someone to want to believe that smoking is not unhealthy. To maintain an illusion of objectivity, they may search their memory and environment for evidence to justify this belief and ignore evidence that conflicts.
Motivated reasoning is more common than we think. Ironically, this may be because we're motivated to believe in our own rationality (even scientists fall foul). To give a handful of examples, motivated reasoning may cause people to:
Overestimate their intelligence, creativity, fearlessness and emotional stability (egoistic bias), as well as their agreeableness, dutifulness, and restraint (moralistic bias).
Overestimate the likelihood of favourable events (e.g., winning the lottery) and underestimate unfavourable events (e.g., becoming ill). This has been called the optimism bias.
Overestimate their control and mastery of their environment and relationships.
Adopt various other beliefs, including that they perform healthy behaviours more than in reality (and unhealthy behaviours less) and are the cause of their own successes but not their failures. A more specific example might be believing that their sports team failed because of a referee rather than the team’s ability.
These forms of motivated reasoning manifest unconsciously in the (lack of) attention that someone gives to incoming information, the capacity and speed with which they recall (or forget) it, their (un)willingness to look for consistent (or contradictory) information, and how (in)credible they judge information to be.
The type of information is important too. Motivated reasoning can have a greater influence when there is a wealth of information that is ambiguous, unsupported, contradictory, and poorly defined, because this gives people leeway to interpret the information how they want while still believing in its accuracy. For example, a study found that people’s self-impressions were over-estimated more for ambiguous words like idealistic and sophisticated than for precisely-defined words like neat and athletic.
There are several reasons to think that religion is a product of motivated reasoning. First, religions employ diffuse texts and collections of fables that are regularly accused of being ambiguous and contradictory. Such narratives provide leeway for people to reach their preferred conclusion (in the same way a horoscope does). For example, ambiguity about God’s role in the world may give believers leeway to choose between free-will and determinism (i.e., God’s “mysterious ways”) when the situation fits.
Second, religion is strongly associated with emotion. The strength and longevity of religious beliefs, and the ecstatic behaviour they generate, all suggest that the beliefs are “affect-laden.” Accordingly, studies have shown that rules that are made “sacred” become emotionally charged and difficult to abandon. Strong beliefs must also be personally justifiable, requiring that the believer not be aware of their biases (as in motivated reasoning).
The types of people who become religious also implicate motivated reasoning. For example, compared to atheists, religious people report more intense emotions and are prone to alexithymia (a deficit in identifying and distinguishing emotional states). They are also prone to regulating and repressing their emotions.
Together, these findings suggest that religious people may be more motivated by their emotions to engage in motivated reasoning and more likely to find religion a suitable platform to reach their desired conclusions.
There is substantial support for the view that negative emotions fuel religiosity. For example, religious belief can increase when people experience an elevated fear of death (also see this study), a loss of personal control, a traumatic event, and other negative life episodes. Greater religious belief is also associated with poverty and financial insecurity.
Negative emotions motivate people to eliminate them, and there is substantial support for the view that, once adopted, religiosity reduces negative emotions. Indeed, religiosity is associated with greater life satisfaction, reduced anxiety, reduced fear of death (see the book The Psychology of Religion: An Empirical Approach), reduced thoughts about death, and reduced distress signals in the brain.
So is motivated reasoning the key to explaining religious belief? One problem with this view is that plenty can happen in the brain between feeling distressed and becoming religious. For example, how is information about the cause of the distress evaluated, remembered, and accessed? How is religion identified as the solution? What specific biases appear in a convert's reasoning? Without answering these questions, it is difficult to confirm that motivated reasoning is the cause of the experimental results summarized above.
There are only a few studies in which motivated reasoning is directly implicated, and even these lack detail. For example, people who were asked to write about death subsequently reported more religious belief than people who wrote about other things. They also reported greater belief in heaven than in hell (i.e., the more comforting belief). The authors attributed the effects to motivated reasoning, but only because a competing explanation appeared unlikely (terror management theory).
Other studies have provided clues about the effect of motivated reasoning on attention, memory, and the communication of religious ideas. For example, when presented with information that disconfirmed their paranormal or religious beliefs, people experienced negative emotions, recalled the information less, and employed selective learning to reduce its emotional impact. Separately, a historical analysis of the Abrahamic faiths suggested that comforting religious ideas are especially likely to survive as religions evolve, and thus may be communicated and accepted more readily.
In my own experiments, I explored motivated reasoning more directly by testing whether positive impressions of a culturally-alien supernatural being would be associated with belief in it. I tested “repressors” (people who repress negative views of things) and I manipulated another group of people to think positively. In each case, I found that a positive view of the supernatural being could explain greater belief in it.
My study, which supported the notion that “comforting gods are more believable,” still lacked detail about how motivated reasoning actually works, and this paucity of detail isn’t the only criticism leveled at motivational explanations of religion.
Indeed, if religion is supposed to be comforting, why is there a hell? Why a devil? Why do so many religions have threatening gods? One solution is that discomforting ideas are a consequence of accuracy goals. If paradise is all there is after death, this looks implausible. However, accuracy and desire may both be satisfied if there is a hell, but it's a hell that the believer is definitely not going to. We must also consider the comfort and reassurance that comes from knowing that bad people who escape justice on Earth will ultimately be punished in hell.
Alternatively, scary gods and threatening ideas may serve to attract people’s attention so that a religion’s more benevolent ideas can be accessed (supported by my study). They may also serve a social or evolutionary function, such as to keep people in line (e.g., with the threat of hell) or to keep them away from danger (e.g., “an evil spirit lives in those woods!”).
A further criticism is that deluding oneself to quell negative emotions should not facilitate survival. We have emotions for a reason and, consequently, evolution should have eliminated motivated reasoning and other forms of emotion regulation. However, the above research suggests otherwise:— there are many forms of emotion regulation that have been empirically measured and that could have useful functions. For example, negative emotions can become excessive (e.g., anxiety disorders), while self-delusion may sometimes provide a competitive advantage (e.g., in war).
In other words, despite the protests of some cognitive and evolutionary scientists, there is substantial support for motivational explanations of religion, with motivated reasoning potentially being an important piece of the religious puzzle.